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Global Production Linkages and Stock Market Comovement

Raphael Auer, Bruce Iwadate, Andreas Schrimpf, Alexander Wagner and Raphael A. Auer
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Raphael Auer

No 10492, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: Although real integration conceptually plays an important role for the comovement of international equity markets, documenting this link empirically has proven challenging. We construct a new dataset of theory-guided, relevant measures of bilateral trade in final and intermediate goods and services. With these measures, we provide evidence of a strong link between changes in international trade – in particular global value chains – and equity market comovement. These results suggest that supply chain disruptions and reshoring, for instance due to political tensions, war, and the COVID-19 crisis, might affect the interconnections between stock markets via rippling through the global production network.

Keywords: financial integration; global value chains; international asset pricing; international trade; real integration; spillovers; stock market comovement; supply chains (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 F36 F65 G10 G12 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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Related works:
Working Paper: Global Production Linkages and Stock Market Comovement (2023) Downloads
Working Paper: Global production linkages and stock market co-movement (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Global Production Linkages and Stock Market Comovement (2022) Downloads
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