Exchange Rate Volatility and Employment Growth: Empirical Evidence from the CEE Economies

Ansgar Belke and Ralph Setzer

No 1056, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: According to the traditional 'optimum currency area' approach, not much will be lost from a very hard peg to a currency union if there has been little reason for variations in the exchange rate. This paper takes a different approach and highlights the fact that high exchange rate volatility may as well signal high costs for labor markets. The impact of exchange rate volatility on labor markets in the CEECs is analyzed, finding that volatility vis-à-vis the euro significantly lowers employment growth. Hence, the elimination of exchange rate volatility could be considered as a substitute for a removal of employment protection legislation.

Keywords: Central and Eastern Europe; currency union; euroization; exchange rate variability; job creation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Working Paper: Exchange Rate Volatility and Employment Growth: Empirical Evidence from the CEE Economies (2004)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1056

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