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Does a Lack of Trust Boost Populist Political Parties in Europe? Causal Evidence from Three Methodologies

Jessica Di Cocco, Eugenio Levi, Rama Dasi Mariani and Steven Stillman

No 11394, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: Existing research has identified several economic and cultural determinants of populist voting. We focus on a related explanation: whether populist leaders are able to capitalize on a sense of distrust between individuals. There is currently limited causal evidence on the relationship between interpersonal trust and support for populist parties, and the underlying mechanisms driving this relationship are not well understood. Using three distinct causal identification strategies, each grounded in different assumptions, we find consistent evidence that a deficit in trust significantly bolsters support for populist political parties throughout Europe. Notably, this influence extends beyond ideological boundaries, encompassing both far-right and far-left populist parties.

Keywords: populism; trust; immigration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 P00 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm, nep-pol and nep-soc
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