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An Overworked Leave? Health Care Workforce Effects of Brexit

Joan Costa-Font, Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto and Joan Costa-i-Font

No 11876, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: We study the impact of the Brexit referendum on the quality of employment and working conditions of workers in the National Health Service (NHS). Using a difference-in-differences (DiD) design and propensity score matching to compare NHS employees with a control group referring to occupations less exposed to employees from the European Union (EU) before Brexit. We document that Brexit led to the average reduction of job satisfaction by 1.39% - largest for physicians (2.6%) and nurses (2.4%) - and an increase of both paid (1.75 hours/week) and unpaid working hours (8.3 hours/week). Nonetheless, the effect was heterogeneous despite the general rise in working time. Indeed, job satisfaction fell by 2.6% among British workers but increased by 3% among overseas workers. These changes were accompanied by a comparable reduction in leisure time and a higher likelihood of workers intending to leave their jobs, suggesting broader behavioural effects that may undermine NHS productivity.

Keywords: job satisfaction; workforce motivation; Brexit; health care workforce; workforce composition; leisure satisfaction; NHS (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I12 J22 J45 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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