Conflict Intensity and Entrepreneurial Intentions: Evidence from Iraqi Regions

Hassan Gholipour Fereidouni, Georges Harb and Mohammad Reza Farzanegan

No 12507, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: This study examines the relationship between conflict events, conflict-related fatalities, and entrepreneurial intentions in Iraq, one of the most war-affected countries over the past four decades and a context largely overlooked in the entrepreneurship literature. By combining regional-level data from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data (ACLED) with individual-level data from the World Values Survey (WVS), we find that, controlling for other factors, entrepreneurial intentions are significantly lower in regions experiencing higher levels of conflicts and fatalities. This finding is robust across multiple estimation methods and model specifications. Furthermore, our results indicate that financially stable individuals show a sharper decline in entrepreneurial intentions in response to conflicts compared to financially vulnerable individuals.

Keywords: business formation; conflicts; entrepreneurial intentions; Iraq; WVS (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 L26 O53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12507

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