Spillovers between Food and Energy Prices and Structural Breaks

Alanoud Al-Maadid, Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Fabio Spagnolo and Nicola Spagnolo

No 5282, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: This paper estimates a bivariate VAR-GARCH(1,1) model to examine linkages between food and energy prices. The adopted framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting from four recent events, namely: 1) the 2006 food crisis, 2) the Brent oil bubble, 3) the introduction of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) policy, and 4) the 2008 global financial crisis. The empirical findings suggest that there are significant linkages between food and both oil and ethanol prices. Further, the four events considered had mixed effects, the 2006 food crisis and 2008 financial crisis leading to the most significant shifts in the (volatility) spillovers between the price series considered.

Keywords: energy and food prices; VAR-GARCH BEKK model; mean and volatility spillovers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F36 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Spillovers between food and energy prices and structural breaks (2017)
Journal Article: Spillovers between food and energy prices and structural breaks (2017)
Working Paper: Spillovers between food and energy prices and structural breaks (2016)
Working Paper: Spillovers between Food and Energy Prices and Structural Breaks (2015)
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