Economics at your fingertips  

On the Cyclicity of Regional House Prices: New Evidence for U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas

Michael Flor () and Torben Klarl

No 5471, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich

Abstract: This paper is mainly concerned with the analysis of regional house price cycles. Based on a newly available data set consisting of the 40 largest U.S. Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), we introduce a wavelet transform based metric to study the housing cycle synchronization across MSAs. We derive several conclusions: (i) We show that regional housing cycle dissimilarities are significantly and strongly connected to geography. (ii) We show that U.S. regional housing cycles are considerably shorter compared to business cycles. (iii) By employing statistical methods, we also show that regional housing prices significantly converge after the bursting of the bubble only at higher business cycle frequencies, whereas for lower business cycle frequencies this is not the case. This is a notable result, because it directly implies that housing cycles behavior is different even at the business cycle.

Keywords: continuous wavelet transform; housing cycles; regional house price synchronization; wavelet distance matrix (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 C33 E32 R11 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: On the cyclicity of regional house prices: New evidence for U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (2017) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Klaus Wohlrabe ().

Page updated 2019-05-13
Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_5471