Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets

Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan T. Kolstad and Johannes Spinnewijn

No 5623, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: A large literature has analyzed pricing inefficiencies in health insurance markets due to adverse selection, typically assuming informed, active consumers on the demand side of the market. However, recent evidence suggests that many consumers have information frictions that lead to suboptimal health plan choices. As a result, policies such as information provision, plan recommendations, and smart defaults to improve consumer choices are being implemented in many applied contexts. In this paper we develop a general framework to study insurance market equilibrium and evaluate policy interventions in the presence of choice frictions. Friction-reducing policies can increase welfare by facilitating better matches between consumers and plans, but can decrease welfare by increasing the correlation between willingness-to-pay and costs, exacerbating adverse selection. We identify relationships between the underlying distributions of consumer (i) costs (ii) surplus from risk protection and (iii) choice frictions that determine whether friction-reducing policies will be on net welfare increasing or reducing. We extend the analysis to study how policies to improve consumer choices interact with the supply-side policy of risk-adjustment transfers and show that the effectiveness of the latter policy can have important implications for the effectiveness of the former. We implement the model empirically using proprietary data on insurance choices, utilization, and consumer information from a large firm. We leverage structural estimates from prior work with these data and highlight how the model’s micro-foundations can be estimated in practice. In our specific setting, we find that friction-reducing policies exacerbate adverse selection, essentially leading to the market fully unraveling, and reduce welfare. Risk-adjustment transfers are complementary, substantially mitigating the negative impact of friction-reducing policies, but having little effect in their absence.

Keywords: information frictions; adverse selection; policy interventions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D80 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)

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https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp5623.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets (2019)
Working Paper: Information frictions and adverse selection: policy interventions in health insurance markets (2018)
Working Paper: Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets (2015)
Working Paper: Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets (2015)
Working Paper: Information frictions and adverse selection: policyinterventions in health insurance markets (2015)
Working Paper: Information Frictions and Adverse Selection: Policy Interventions in Health Insurance Markets (2015)
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