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Does the Swiss Debt Brake Induce Sound Federal Finances? A Synthetic Control Analysis

Christian Pfeil () and Lars Feld

No 6044, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: The Swiss debt brake is widely appreciated as one of the most rationally designed fiscal rules in the world and was thus also discussed as blueprint in the debates about fiscal rules in Germany, the European Union member states and Israel. However, evidence that this rule really contributes to sound federal finances does not exist yet. We investigate the effectiveness of the Swiss debt brake by employing the Synthetic Control Method. We find that the introduction of this fiscal rule improved the budget balance by about 3.6 percentage points on average in a post-intervention period covering five years.

Keywords: Swiss debt brake; cyclically adjusted budget balance; government debt; synthetic control method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H11 H60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Does the Swiss Debt Brake Induce Sound Federal Finances? A Synthetic Control Analysis (2024) Downloads
Working Paper: Does the Swiss debt brake induce sound federal finances? A synthetic control analysis (2018) Downloads
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