On the Effects of GATT/WTO Membership on Trade: They Are Positive and Large after All

Mario Larch, Jose-Antonio Monteiro, Roberta Piermartini and Yoto Yotov

No 7721, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: We capitalize on the latest developments in the empirical structural gravity literature to revisit the question of whether and how much does GATT/WTO membership affect international trade. We are the first to capture the non-discriminatory nature of GATT/WTO commitments by measuring the effects of GATT/WTO membership on international trade relative to domestic sales. These unilateral effects of GATT/WTO membership are found to be large, positive, and statistically significant. We also obtain bilateral GATT/WTO estimates, which are larger than those reported in the literature. In particular, our results imply that, on average, joining GATT and/or WTO has increased trade between members by 171% and trade between member and non-member countries by about 88%. We also find that although both GATT/WTO has been effective in promoting trade between members, the WTO has been more effective in promoting trade with non-members than GATT. A battery of sensitivity experiments confirms the effectiveness of our methods and robustness of our main findings.

Keywords: GATT/WTO; international trade; domestic sales; structural gravity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F14 F16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (27)

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Related works:
Working Paper: On the Effects of GATT/WTO Membership on Trade: They are Positive and Large After All (2019)
Working Paper: On the effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade: They are positive and large after all (2019)
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