EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Bilateral Trade Imbalances

Alejandro Cunat () and Robert Zymek ()

No 7823, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich

Abstract: Bilateral trade imbalances are determined by aggregate trade imbalances, production and expenditure patterns, and trade barriers. We calibrate a dynamic many-sector trade model to match the recent sectoral trade and production shares of 40 economies and the rest of the world. Through a variance decomposition and counterfactuals, the model allows us to assess the relative importance of these determinants for the observed variation in bilateral imbalances. Large pairwise asymmetries in residual trade “wedges” are needed for the model to match the data. These account for roughly 60% of the variation, with most of the rest due to differences in production and expenditure patterns. Aggregate trade imbalances play a minor role. A counterfactual trade policy which eliminates trade-wedge asymmetries would have sizeable effects on bilateral trade patterns and welfare. However, it would leave aggregate trade balances virtually unchanged.

Keywords: trade imbalances; trade wedges; gravity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 F20 F32 F40 F62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/cesifo1_wp7823.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Bilateral Trade Imbalances (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: Bilateral Trade Imbalances (2018) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7823

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Klaus Wohlrabe ().

 
Page updated 2019-12-09
Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7823