Age, Intentions and the Implicit Role of Out-Selection Factors of International Migration

Michel Beine

No 8688, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: In this paper, I propose to isolate the role of age as a self-selection factor of international migration. The role of age is estimated on intended emigration rather than on observed outcomes of migration, using individual measures of intended emigration drawn from a large-scale survey conducted by Gallup. I find evidence that age has a monotonic negative effect on desired emigration for the working-age population. The estimations point to a very robust effect, suggesting that an additional year of age decreases the probability of intended emigration by about 0.5%. This effect is steady over different periods of time and for most types of countries of origin. The results contrast with previous evidence obtained on observed outcomes of migration, suggesting that out-selection factors interact with age and shape the demographic profile of migrants.

Keywords: age; international migration; intended emigration; logit; large-scale survey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C25 F22 J61 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dem, nep-int, nep-mig and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8688

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