Climate Change and Migration: The Case of Africa

Bruno Conte

No 9948, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: How will future climate change affect rural economies like sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in terms of migration and welfare losses? How can policy enhance SSA’s capacity to adapt to this process? I answer these questions with a quantitative framework that, coupled with rich spatial data and forecasts for the future, estimates millions of climate migrants and sizeable and unequal welfare losses in SSA. Investigating migration and trade policies as mitigating tools, I find a trade-off associated with the former: reducing SSA migration barriers to the European Union (EU) standards eliminates aggregate welfare losses at the cost of more climate migration and high regional inequality. Reducing tariffs to the EU levels attenuates this cost.

Keywords: climate change; migration; economic geography (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O15 Q54 R12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr, nep-agr, nep-dev, nep-env, nep-geo, nep-int, nep-mig and nep-ure
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Climate change and migration: the case of Africa (2023)
Working Paper: Climate change and migration: the case of Africa (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_9948

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