The Weakness of the German Car Industry and its Sectoral and Global Impacts

João Leal, Robert Lehmann, Bertrand Marc, Timo Wollmershäuser and Przemyslaw Wozniak

No 18, EconPol Policy Brief from ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich

Abstract: Industrial production in the German car industry dropped by 9.4% in the third quarter 2018 mainly due to problems with the implementation of the new Worldwide Harmonized Light-Duty Vehicles Test Procedure (WLTP). As the car producing industry is the most important sector for the German economy and is deeply integrated into international value-added chains, this policy report presents estimated sectoral and global impacts due to this sharp drop. The most affected sectors are fabricated metals and rubber and plastic products, both in Germany and its main partners, that deliver intermediate inputs (for example, the Czech Republic). From a global perspective, the largest effect on gross domestic product (GDP) is – with -0.75% – estimated for Germany. On top, the three most affected countries are the Czech Republic (-0.21%), Hungary (-0.20%) and Slovakia (-0.18%).

Date: 2019
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