Details about Timo Wollmershäuser
Access statistics for papers by Timo Wollmershäuser.
Last updated 2025-01-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pwo119
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Working Papers
2022
- The Common Interests of Health Protection and the Economy: Evidence from Scenario Calculations of Covid-19 Containment Policies
ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (2)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article The common interests of health protection and the economy: evidence from scenario calculations of COVID-19 containment policies, The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer (2023) (2023)
2021
- Survey-Based Structural Budget Balances
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) View citations (4)
2020
- Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (1)
Also in VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2018) View citations (1) Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank (2019) View citations (4) CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2018) View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2020) View citations (2) (2020)
- Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks in Real-Time: A Novel Method Applied to the Covid-19 Crisis in Germany
IAB-Discussion Paper, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany] View citations (5)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (7)
- The Economic Costs of the Coronavirus Shutdown for Germany: A Scenario Calculation
EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (6)
- The Economic Costs of the Coronavirus Shutdown for Selected European Countries: A Scenario Calculation
EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (19)
2019
- Restoring euro area monetary transmission: Which role for government bond rates?
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics
See also Journal Article Restoring euro area monetary transmission: Which role for government bond rates?, Empirical Economics, Springer (2019) View citations (3) (2019)
- The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo 
See also Journal Article The macroeconomic projections of the German government: A comparison to an independent forecasting institution, German Economic Review, De Gruyter (2020) View citations (5) (2020)
- The Weakness of the German Car Industry and its Sectoral and Global Impacts
EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (1)
2017
- The German Current Account Surplus: Where Does It Come From, Is It Harmful and Should Germany Do Something about It?
EconPol Policy Reports, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (14)
2014
- Smells Like Fiscal Policy? Assessing the Potential Effectiveness of the ECB s OMT Program
VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (5)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2014) View citations (4)
2013
- A micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (17)
Also in Weidener Diskussionspapiere, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH) (2010) View citations (12) CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2010) View citations (13)
See also Journal Article A micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013) View citations (20) (2013)
- Financial Frictions and Inflation Differentials in a Monetary Union
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (1)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2010) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Financial Frictions and Inflation Differentials in a Monetary Union, Manchester School, University of Manchester (2014) View citations (3) (2014)
- Fiscal Divergence and Current Account Imbalances in Europe
VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (26)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2013) View citations (31)
- The Interest Rate Pass-Through in the Euro Area During the Global Financial Crisis
VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (7)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2012) View citations (6)
See also Journal Article The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2014) View citations (86) (2014)
2012
- Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis: Evidence for the Euro area
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (136)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) View citations (19)
See also Journal Article Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis: Evidence for the Euro area, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2012) View citations (139) (2012)
- Target Balances and the German Financial Account in Light of the European Balance-of-Payments Crisis
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (10)
- Target loans, current account balances and capital flows: The ECB’s rescue facility
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (146)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) View citations (104) CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) View citations (136)
See also Journal Article Target loans, current account balances and capital flows: the ECB’s rescue facility, International Tax and Public Finance, Springer (2012) View citations (179) (2012)
- Target-Salden und die deutsche Kapitalbilanz im Zeichen der europäischen Zahlungsbilanzkrise
ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (6)
2011
- Target-Kredite, Leistungsbilanzsalden und Kapitalverkehr: Der Rettungsschirm der EZB
ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (42)
See also Journal Article Target-Kredite, Leistungsbilanzsalden und Kapitalverkehr: Der Rettungsschirm der EZB, ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2011) View citations (39) (2011)
- Trade imbalances - causes, consequences and policy measures: Ifo’s statement for the camdessus commission
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Trade Imbalances – Causes, Consequences and Policy Measures: Ifo’s Statement for the Camdessus Commission, CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2011) View citations (14) (2011)
- Yield spreads on EMU government Bonds -how the Financial crisis has helped investors to Rediscover Risk
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (9)
See also Journal Article Yield spreads on EMU government bonds — How the financial crisis has helped investors to rediscover risk, Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer (2011) View citations (10) (2011)
2010
- Optimal Monetary Policy in a Monetary Union with Housing and Credit Market Heterogeneity
Working Paper / FINESS, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
- Should Central Banks React to Exchange Rate Movements? An Analysis of the Robustness of Simple Policy Rules under Exchange Rate Uncertainty
EcoMod2004, EcoMod 
Also in Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics (2006) View citations (20)
See also Journal Article Should central banks react to exchange rate movements? An analysis of the robustness of simple policy rules under exchange rate uncertainty, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2006) View citations (23) (2006)
- Sterilized Foreign Exchange Market Interventions in a Chartist-Fundamentalist Exchange Rate Model
EcoMod2004, EcoMod 
Also in W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics (2004)
- Was kostet die Krise? Mittelfristige Wachstumsperspektiven in Deutschland, 2010 - 2014
Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (1)
2009
- Monetary Policy Transmission and House Prices: European Cross Country Evidence
Working Paper / FINESS, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (42)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2009) View citations (41)
- Price Dispersion in the Euro Area: The Case of a Symmetric Oil Price Shock
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
- Teaching New Keynesian Open Economy Macroeconomics at the Intermediate Level
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (7)
Also in W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics (2006) View citations (4)
See also Journal Article Teaching New Keynesian Open Economy Macroeconomics at the Intermediate Level, The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals (2009) View citations (6) (2009)
2008
- Forecasting Euro Area Real GDP: Optimal Pooling of Information
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (7)
- The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (44)
See also Journal Article The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2008) View citations (46) (2008)
- The Stress of Having a Single Monetary Policy in Europe
KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (44)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2008) View citations (44)
2007
- Bank Behaviour and the Cost Channel of Monetary Transmission
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006, Money Macro and Finance Research Group View citations (3)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2006) View citations (21) W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics (2006) View citations (21)
- Does the Euro-zone Diverge? A Stress Indicator for Analyzing Trends and Cycles in Real GDP and Inflation
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (14)
- The Price Puzzle Revisited: Can the Cost Channel Explain a Rise in Inflation after a Monetary Policy Shock?
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (24)
See also Journal Article The price puzzle revisited: Can the cost channel explain a rise in inflation after a monetary policy shock?, Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier (2009) View citations (65) (2009)
2006
- Bank loan supply and monetary policy transmission in Germany: An assessment based on matching impulse responses
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (37)
Also in W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics (2004) View citations (12) ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2005) View citations (6) CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2005) View citations (8)
See also Journal Article Bank loan supply and monetary policy transmission in Germany: An assessment based on matching impulse responses, Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier (2006) View citations (40) (2006)
- The BMW model: A new framework for teaching monetary economics
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (24)
See also Journal Article The BMW Model: A New Framework for Teaching Monetary Economics, The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals (2006) View citations (30) (2006)
- The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the Role of Expectations: Evidence from the Ifo World Economic Survey
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (10)
- The Price Puzzle Revisited: Can the Cost Channel explain a Rise in Inflation after a Monetary Shock?
W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics
2005
- An Alternative to the Carlson-Parkin Method for the Quantification of Qualitative Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the Ifo World Economic Survey
ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (15)
2003
- Managed floating as a monetary policy strategy
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (32)
See also Journal Article Managed Floating as a Monetary Policy Strategy, Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer (2003) View citations (31) (2003)
- The BMW Model: Simple Macroeconomics for Closed and Open Economies - A Requiem for the IS/LM-AS/AD and the Mundell-Fleming Mode
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 
Also in W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics (2002) View citations (3)
- The BMW model as a static approximation of a foreward-looking New Keynesian macroeconomic model
W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics
- The BMW model: A new framework for teaching monetary macroeconomics in closed and open economies
W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics View citations (1)
2001
- Is there a third way to EMU for the EU accession countries?
Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (23)
See also Journal Article Is there a third way to EMU for the EU accession countries?, Economic Systems, Elsevier (2001) View citations (24) (2001)
- Managed Floating: Understanding the New International Monetary Order
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (35)
Also in W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics (2001) View citations (41)
2000
- ESZB-Devisenbestand - quo vadis?
W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics View citations (1)
- Monetary policy and exchange rate targeting in open economies
W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics View citations (5)
- Options For The Exchange Rate Policies Of The EU Accession Countries (And Other Emerging Market Economies)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (5)
Also in W.E.P. - Würzburg Economic Papers, University of Würzburg, Department of Economics (2000) View citations (5)
Journal Articles
2024
- Deutsche Wirtschaft kränkelt – Reform der Schuldenbremse kein Allheilmittel
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2024, 104, (4), 246-251
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2024: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Umbruch
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2024, 104, (10), 730-734
- Struktureller Wandel im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe: Produktion unterzeichnet Bruttowertschöpfung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2024, 77, (02), 55-60 View citations (6)
- Vierteljährliche Schätzungen zum Wirtschaftswachstum der deutschen Bundesländer
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2024, 5, (10), 01-08
- Zu den wirtschaftlichen Effekten von sportlichen Großereignissen
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2024, 5, (6), 01-11
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2024: Deutsche Wirtschaft wie gelähmt
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2024, 5, (2), 01-12
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2024: Deutsche Wirtschaft steckt in der Krise fest
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2024, 5, (7), 01-12
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2024: Deutsche Wirtschaft am Scheideweg
ifo Schnelldienst, 2024, 77, (Sonderausgabe), 01-50
2023
- Angebotsseitige Produktionsbehinderungen und überausgelastete Produktionskapazitäten – eine aktuelle Einordnung für die deutsche Wirtschaft
ifo Schnelldienst, 2023, 76, (03), 52-56 View citations (1)
- Entstehungs- und einkommensseitige Determinanten der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Teuerung im Jahr 2022
ifo Schnelldienst, 2023, 76, (07), 58-61
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2023: Inflation im Kern hoch – Angebotskräfte jetzt stärken
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2023, 103, (4), 259-263
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2023: Kaufkraft kehrt zurück – politische Unsicherheit hoch
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2023, 103, (10), 680-683
- Inflation: An einem Strang ziehen!
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2023, 103, (2), 77-77
- The common interests of health protection and the economy: evidence from scenario calculations of COVID-19 containment policies
The European Journal of Health Economics, 2023, 24, (1), 67-74 
See also Working Paper The Common Interests of Health Protection and the Economy: Evidence from Scenario Calculations of Covid-19 Containment Policies, ifo Working Paper Series (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
- Umfragegestützte strukturelle Finanzierungssalden
ifo Schnelldienst, 2023, 76, (07), 37-43
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2023: Deutsche Wirtschaft stagniert
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2023, 4, (2), 01-14 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2023: Konjunktur in Deutschland kühlt weiter ab
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2023, 4, (4), 03-15
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2023: Inflation flaut langsam ab – aber Konjunktur lahmt noch
ifo Schnelldienst, 2023, 76, (Sonderausgabe), 01-53
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2023: Konjunkturerholung verzögert sich – Haushaltslücke birgt neue Risiken
ifo Schnelldienst, 2023, 76, (Sonderausgabe) View citations (1)
2022
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Energiekrise, Inflation, Rezession und Wohlstandsverlust
(Energy Crisis: Inflation, Recession, Welfare Loss)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2022, 102, (10), 761-765 View citations (1)
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Ohne russisches Gas droht eine scharfe Rezession in Deutschland
(Without Russian Gas, a Sharp Recession Looms in Germany)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2022, 102, (5), 347-353 View citations (5)
- Gesamtwirtschafliche ifo Kapazitätsauslastungen für die deutschen Bundesländer
ifo Dresden berichtet, 2022, 29, (03), 19-25 View citations (1)
- Inflation auf Rekordniveau – wie kann die Politik die Folgen abfedern?
ifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, (07), 03-25
- Inflation frisst Überschussersparnis
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2022, 3, (4), 01-02
- Strukturelle Finanzierungssalden auf verlässliche Füße stellen
(Putting Structural Budget Balances on Reliable Footing)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2022, 102, (2), 108-113 View citations (1)
- Zur Bestimmung der Realeinkommensverluste in der gegenwärtigen Energiekrise
ifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, (11), 47-53 View citations (2)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2022: Folgen des russisch-ukrainischen Krieges dämpfen deutsche Konjunktur
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2022, 3, (1), 1-15 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2022: Inflation würgt privaten Konsum ab – deutsche Konjunktur vor hartem Winter
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2022, 3, (5), 01-12
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2022: Inflation und Rezession
ifo Schnelldienst, 2022, (Sonderausgabe) View citations (1)
2021
- Die Post-Covid-19-Wirtschaft: Welche unerwarteten Spuren hinterlässt die Krise in Branchen, Regionen und Strukturen
ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, (03), 03-25 View citations (1)
- Distributional effects of macroeconomic shocks in real-time
The Journal of Economic Inequality, 2021, 19, (3), 459-487 View citations (10)
- Fachkräftemangel wird zunehmend zur Belastung für die deutsche Wirtschaft
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2021, 2, (17), 01-04 View citations (1)
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Die Krise wird allmählich überwunden
(The Crisis is Gradually Being Overcome)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2021, 101, (10), 773-776
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Pandemie verzögert Aufschwung — Demografie bremst Wachstum
(Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Pandemic Delays Upswing — Demography Slows Growth)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2021, 101, (5), 353-357
- Investitionsaussichten deutlich aufgehellt
ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, (08), 46
- Konjunkturelle Auswirkungen der zweiten Coronawelle auf ausgewählte Wirtschaftsbereiche
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2021, 2, (05), 01-06
- Konsumstau, höhere Energiepreise, lockere Geldpolitik: Droht nach Corona die große Inflation?
ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, (09), 03-26
- Zu den Verteilungseffekten der derzeit hohen Inflationsraten
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2021, 2, (16), 01-06
- Zur Plausibilisierung von Konsumprognosen mittels der Input-Output-Rechnung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, (04), 54-56 View citations (1)
- Zwei neue Analysewerkzeuge für die ifo Konjunkturumfragen: Die neue ifo Konjunkturuhr und die ifo Heatmap
ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, (03), 51-55
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2021: Deutsche Wirtschaft taumelt in die dritte Coronawelle
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2021, 2, (09), 01-13 View citations (7)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2021: Lieferengpässe in der Industrie bremsen gesamtwirtschaftliche Erholung
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2021, 2, (13), 01-12
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2021: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Spannungsfeld zwischen Öffnungen und Lieferengpässen
ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, (Sonderausgabe), 01-52 View citations (3)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2021: Lieferengpässe und Coronawelle bremsen deutsche Wirtschaft aus
ifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, (Sonderausgabe), 01-50 View citations (1)
2020
- Abschätzung möglicher konjunktureller Folgen der Coronavirus-Epidemie
ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (03), 53-54
- Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2020, 113, (C) View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Capital flows in the euro area and TARGET2 balances, Munich Reprints in Economics (2020) View citations (1) (2020)
- Covid-19-Krise: Für das Jahr 2020 ist mit keinem Anstieg der Einkommensungleichheit in Deutschland zu rechnen
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (16), 01-03 View citations (3)
- Das gemeinsame Interesse von Gesundheit und Wirtschaft: Eine Szenarienrechnung zur Eindämmung der Corona- Pandemie
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (06), 01-09 View citations (3)
- Die volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten des Corona-Shutdown für Bayern: Eine Szenarienrechnung
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (02), 01-02
- Die volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten des Corona-Shutdown für Deutschland: Eine Szenarienrechnung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (04), 29-35 View citations (21)
- Die volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten des Corona-Shutdown für ausgewählte europäische Länder: Eine Szenarienrechnung
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (03), 01-07
- Erholung verliert an Fahrt - Wirtschaft und Politik weiter im Zeichen der Pandemie
(Recovery Loses Momentum - Economy and Politics Still Shaped by the Pandemic)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2020, 100, (11), 885-889 View citations (1)
- Low Interest Rates: Global Causes and Policy Implications for Germany
CESifo Forum, 2020, 21, (01), 3-6
- Niedrigzinsen: Ursachen und wirtschaftspolitische Implikationen
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2020, 100, (1), 9-12 View citations (2)
- The macroeconomic projections of the German government: A comparison to an independent forecasting institution
German Economic Review, 2020, 21, (2), 235-270 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution, CESifo Working Paper Series (2019) (2019)
- Wirtschaft unter Schock — Finanzpolitik hält dagegen
(Economy in Shock — Financial Policy is Holding Up)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2020, 100, (4), 254-258
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2020: Konjunktur bricht ein
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (01), 01-09
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2020: Deutsche Wirtschaft weiter auf Erholungskurs
ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (11), 01-11 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2020: Deutsche Wirtschaft – es geht wieder aufwärts
ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (Sonderausgabe), 3-58 View citations (16)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2020: Das Coronavirus schlägt zurück – erneuter Shutdown bremst Konjunktur ein zweites Mal aus
ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (Sonderausgabe), 03-61 View citations (10)
- ifoCAST: Der neue Prognosestandard des ifo Instituts
ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (11), 31-39 View citations (2)
- Über die drohende Entankerung der Inflationserwartungen in der Eurozone und die Handlungsspielräume der EZB
ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (10), 30-32
2019
- Gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitäten weitgehend normal ausgelastet
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (22), 56
- Gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitätsauslastung sinkt
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (04), 71 View citations (1)
- Gesamtwirtschaftliche Überauslastung nimmt weiter ab
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (10), 58 View citations (1)
- Industrie in der Rezession — Wachstumskräfte schwinden
(Industry in Recession — Growth Forces Dwindle)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2019, 99, (10), 693-696
- Konjunktur deutlich abgekühlt — politische Risiken hoch
(Significant Cooling of the Economy — Political Risks High)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2019, 99, (4), 262-266
- Konjunkturelle Eintrübung und sinkende Produktion in der Industrie: Was können Unternehmen und Politik tun?
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (18), 03-23
- Restoring euro area monetary transmission: Which role for government bond rates?
Empirical Economics, 2019, 57, (3), 991-1021 View citations (3)
See also Working Paper Restoring euro area monetary transmission: Which role for government bond rates?, Munich Reprints in Economics (2019) (2019)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Abschwung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (06), 45-53 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2019 – Deutscher Wirtschaft droht Rezession
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (17), 63-72 View citations (3)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur ohne Schwung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (12), 25-78 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur stabilisiert sich
ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (24), 27-89 View citations (9)
2018
- Aufschwung verliert an Fahrt – Weltwirtschaftliches Klima wird rauer
(Upturn Loses Momentum – World Economic Climate Grows Harsher)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2018, 98, (10), 718-721
- Deutsche Wirtschaft im Boom – Luft wird dünner
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2018, 98, (5), 347-352
- Die ifo Investitionserwartungen – ein neuer Frühindikator für die Investitionstätigkeit deutscher Unternehmen
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (23), 32-35
- Gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitäten zunehmend überausgelastet
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (04), 68 View citations (1)
- Unsicherheit deutscher Unternehmen deutlich gestiegen
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (20), 51-52 View citations (3)
- Zur Berechnung eines nach Importanteilen korrigierten Wachstumsbeitrages der Verwendungskomponenten des deutschen Bruttoinlandsprodukts
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (05), 27-29 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2018: Starke deutsche Konjunktur im Spannungsfeld zwischen GroKo und Trump
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (07), 77-78
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2018: Überauslastung hält an bei zunehmenden weltwirtschaftlichen Risiken
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (17), 50-59
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2018: Gewitterwolken am deutschen Konjunkturhimmel
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (12), 33-87 View citations (5)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2018: Deutsche Konjunktur kühlt sich ab
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (24), 28-82 View citations (12)
2017
- Aufschwung in Deutschland festigt sich trotz weltwirtschaftlicher Risiken
(Upturn in Germany Strengthens in Spite of Global Economic Risks)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2017, 97, (4), 256-260
- Aufschwung in Deutschland weiter kräftig — Anspannungen nehmen zu
(Expansion Continues to Be Strong)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2017, 97, (10), 708-713
- Die Inflation kommt zurück! Immer mehr Firmen in Deutschland wollen ihre Preise anheben
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (05), 16-21 View citations (5)
- Die Konjunkturprognosen der Gemeinschaftsdiagnose und des Bundeswirtschaftsministeriums im Vergleich
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (03), 40-45
- Innovations to the ifo World Economic Survey
CESifo Forum, 2017, 18, (01), 33-36 View citations (2)
- Neuerungen im Ifo World Economic Survey
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (01), 24-28 View citations (3)
- Personalführung im Spiegel wissenschaftlicher Rankings
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (13), 70-71
- Zu den Auswirkungen von Rohstoffpreisänderungen auf den Leistungsbilanzsaldo
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (14), 44-46 View citations (2)
- Zur Konstruktion einer gesamtwirtschaftlichen ifo Kapazitätsauslastung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (15), 26-30 View citations (15)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017/2018: Deutsche Wirtschaft stark und stabil
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (12), 30-83 View citations (9)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017–2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (24), 28-81 View citations (3)
- Über die richtige Interpretation des ifo Geschäftsklimas als konjunktureller Frühindikator
ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (15), 42-46 View citations (9)
2016
- Aufschwung bleibt moderat — Wirtschaftspolitik wenig wachstumsorientiert
(Upturn Remains Moderate — Economic Policy Lacks Growth Orientation)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2016, 96, (5), 351-356
- Der Zusammenhang zwischen Geschäftserwartungen und -lage im ifo Konjunkturtest
ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (05), 42-45 View citations (1)
- Deutsche Wirtschaft gut ausgelastet — Wirtschaftspolitik neu ausrichten
(German Economy on Track — Economic Policy Needs to be Realigned)
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2016, 96, (10), 727-731
- Die Auswirkungen des britischen Votums für einen Brexit auf die deutsche Konjunktur 2016/17
ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (13), 38-43 View citations (1)
- Exchange Rate Policy in Croatia
CESifo Forum, 2016, 17, (01), 08-11
- Managing Household Debt in Croatia
CESifo Forum, 2016, 17, (01), 12-16
- Vorhersage der Revisionen der Vorratsveränderungen mit Hilfe der ifo Lagerbeurteilung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (07), 26-32 View citations (2)
- Zur Prognosegüte der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Stundenproduktivität
ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (22), 57-61 View citations (6)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016/2017: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht in die zweite Halbzeit
ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (12), 21-57 View citations (2)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016–2018: Robuste deutsche Konjunktur vor einem Jahr ungewisser internationaler Wirtschaftspolitik
ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (24), 28-73 View citations (1)
2015
- Der Mindestlohn: Ein erster Rückblick auf die Sonderfrage
ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (05), 38-41 View citations (3)
- Entwicklung der deutschen Investitionstätigkeit imeuropäischen Vergleich: Die Rolle von Preis- undMengeneffekten
ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (16), 39-50
- Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen – ein Vergleich mit den Prognosen von Consensus Economics
ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (22), 26-28 View citations (3)
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Flüchtlingsmigration stellt Wirtschaftspolitik vor Herausforderungen
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2015, 95, (10), 696-700
- Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: kräftiger Aufschwung dank günstigem Öl und schwachem Euro
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2015, 95, (5), 364-366
- Innovations in World-Wide Expert Survey ‘Ifo World Economic Survey’ – New Question on Medium-Term Inflation Expectations
CESifo Forum, 2015, 16, (02), 43-47
- Neuerungen in der weltweiten Expertenbefragung »Ifo World EconomicSurvey« – Frage zu den mittelfristigen Inflationserwartungen
ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (05), 33-37
- Wie schnell erholt sich eine Volkswirtschaft nach einer Währungs- und Staatsschuldenkrise?
ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (13), 56-57 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2016: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (12), 22-62 View citations (2)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort
ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (24), 23-66 View citations (1)
2014
- Deutsche Wirtschaft stagniert — Jetzt Wachstumskräfte stärken
Wirtschaftsdienst, 2014, 94, (10), 686-687
- Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen
ifo Schnelldienst, 2014, 67, (17), 43-45 View citations (5)
- Financial Frictions and Inflation Differentials in a Monetary Union
Manchester School, 2014, 82, (5), 549-595 View citations (3)
See also Working Paper Financial Frictions and Inflation Differentials in a Monetary Union, Munich Reprints in Economics (2013) View citations (1) (2013)
- Schiffbruch ohne Tiger: Das OMT-Programm der Europäischen Zentralbank
ifo Schnelldienst, 2014, 67, (04), 15-16
- The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2014, 48, (C), 104-119 View citations (86)
See also Working Paper The Interest Rate Pass-Through in the Euro Area During the Global Financial Crisis, VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order (2013) View citations (7) (2013)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2014/2015: Deutsche Wirtschaft gewinnt allmählich wieder an Schwung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2014, 67, (24), 37-81 View citations (3)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2014/2015: Deutscher Aufschwung setzt sich fort
ifo Schnelldienst, 2014, 67, (13), 17-58 View citations (2)
2013
- A micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches
Applied Economics, 2013, 45, (17), 2423-2441 View citations (20)
See also Working Paper A micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches, Munich Reprints in Economics (2013) View citations (17) (2013)
- CESifo World Economic Survey August 2013
ifo World Economic Survey, 2013, 12, (03), 1-25 View citations (5)
- CESifo World Economic Survey November 2013
ifo World Economic Survey, 2013, 12, (04), 1-27 View citations (1)
- Die Geldpolitik der EZB in der Klemme – kann mehr »Forward Guidance« helfen?
ifo Schnelldienst, 2013, 66, (22), 35-45 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Deutsche Konjunkturlokomotive kommt unter Dampf
ifo Schnelldienst, 2013, 66, (24), 20-67 View citations (2)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Günstige Perspektiven für die deutsche Konjunktur
ifo Schnelldienst, 2013, 66, (13), 17-64 View citations (2)
2012
- Austritt Griechenlands aus der Europäischen Währungsunion: Historische Erfahrungen, makroökonomische Konsequenzen und organisatorische Umsetzung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (10), 09-37 View citations (11)
- Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis: Evidence for the Euro area
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2012, 31, (3), 569-592 View citations (139)
See also Working Paper Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis: Evidence for the Euro area, Munich Reprints in Economics (2012) View citations (136) (2012)
- Target loans, current account balances and capital flows: the ECB’s rescue facility
International Tax and Public Finance, 2012, 19, (4), 468-508 View citations (179)
See also Working Paper Target loans, current account balances and capital flows: The ECB’s rescue facility, Munich Reprints in Economics (2012) View citations (146) (2012)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Erhöhte Unsicherheit dämpft deutsche Konjunktur erneut
ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (13), 15-68 View citations (3)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Eurokrise verzögert Aufschwung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (24), 15-65
2011
- CESifo World Economic Survey February 2011
ifo World Economic Survey, 2011, 10, (01), 1-24
- Target-Kredite, Leistungsbilanzsalden und Kapitalverkehr: Der Rettungsschirm der EZB
ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (1), 01-29 View citations (39)
See also Working Paper Target-Kredite, Leistungsbilanzsalden und Kapitalverkehr: Der Rettungsschirm der EZB, ifo Working Paper Series (2011) View citations (42) (2011)
- Trade Imbalances – Causes, Consequences and Policy Measures: Ifo’s Statement for the Camdessus Commission
CESifo Forum, 2011, 12, (01), 47-58 View citations (14)
See also Working Paper Trade imbalances - causes, consequences and policy measures: Ifo’s statement for the camdessus commission, Munich Reprints in Economics (2011) View citations (5) (2011)
- Yield spreads on EMU government bonds — How the financial crisis has helped investors to rediscover risk
Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, 2011, 46, (3), 169-176 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper Yield spreads on EMU government Bonds -how the Financial crisis has helped investors to Rediscover Risk, Munich Reprints in Economics (2011) View citations (9) (2011)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran
ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (13), 16-62 View citations (3)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus
ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (24), 26-72 View citations (1)
2010
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010/2011:Auftriebskräfte verlagern sich nach Deutschland
ifo Schnelldienst, 2010, 63, (12), 12-63 View citations (3)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort
ifo Schnelldienst, 2010, 63, (24), 18-68 View citations (4)
2009
- Bank behavior, incomplete interest rate pass-through, and the cost channel of monetary policy transmission
Economic Modelling, 2009, 26, (6), 1310-1327 View citations (61)
- Teaching New Keynesian Open Economy Macroeconomics at the Intermediate Level
The Journal of Economic Education, 2009, 40, (1), 80-102 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Teaching New Keynesian Open Economy Macroeconomics at the Intermediate Level, Munich Reprints in Economics (2009) View citations (7) (2009)
- The price puzzle revisited: Can the cost channel explain a rise in inflation after a monetary policy shock?
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2009, 31, (2), 268-289 View citations (65)
See also Working Paper The Price Puzzle Revisited: Can the Cost Channel Explain a Rise in Inflation after a Monetary Policy Shock?, CESifo Working Paper Series (2007) View citations (24) (2007)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009/2010: Abschwung setzt sich fort
ifo Schnelldienst, 2009, 62, (12), 11-57 View citations (3)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik
ifo Schnelldienst, 2009, 62, (24), 17-64 View citations (7)
2008
- Die Europäische Währungsunion und der Verlust einer eigenständigen Geldpolitik
KOF Analysen, 2008, 2, (4), 35-43
- The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey
Economic Modelling, 2008, 25, (5), 811-832 View citations (46)
See also Working Paper The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey, Munich Reprints in Economics (2008) View citations (44) (2008)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008/2009: Aufschwung geht zu Ende
ifo Schnelldienst, 2008, 61, (12), 09-54 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009: Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession
ifo Schnelldienst, 2008, 61, (24), 21-69
2007
- Mittelfristige Inflationsprognose: Das Dilemma der Zwei-Säulen-Strategie der EZB
ifo Schnelldienst, 2007, 60, (11), 16-24 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2007/2008: Aufschwung mit niedrigerem Tempo
ifo Schnelldienst, 2007, 60, (12), 08-53 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008: Konjunktur verliert an Fahrt
ifo Schnelldienst, 2007, 60, (24), 09-58
2006
- Bank loan supply and monetary policy transmission in Germany: An assessment based on matching impulse responses
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2006, 30, (10), 2893-2910 View citations (40)
See also Working Paper Bank loan supply and monetary policy transmission in Germany: An assessment based on matching impulse responses, Munich Reprints in Economics (2006) View citations (37) (2006)
- Makroökonomische Bedeutung von Vermögenspreisblase: Eine Event-Studie für die G4-Länder
ifo Schnelldienst, 2006, 59, (19), 13-33 View citations (1)
- Quantifying Inflation Expectations with the Carlson-Parkin Method: A Survey-based Determination of the Just Noticeable Difference
Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2006, 2005, (3), 321-352 View citations (14)
- Should central banks react to exchange rate movements? An analysis of the robustness of simple policy rules under exchange rate uncertainty
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2006, 28, (3), 493-519 View citations (23)
See also Working Paper Should Central Banks React to Exchange Rate Movements? An Analysis of the Robustness of Simple Policy Rules under Exchange Rate Uncertainty, EcoMod2004 (2010) (2010)
- The BMW Model: A New Framework for Teaching Monetary Economics
The Journal of Economic Education, 2006, 37, (1), 98-117 View citations (30)
See also Working Paper The BMW model: A new framework for teaching monetary economics, Munich Reprints in Economics (2006) View citations (24) (2006)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2006/2007: Aufschwung setzt sich fort
ifo Schnelldienst, 2006, 59, (12), 19-54 View citations (6)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2007: Konjunkturelle Auftriebskräfte bleiben stark
ifo Schnelldienst, 2006, 59, (24), 17-57
2005
- Eine umfragebasierte Methode zur Quantifizierung qualitativer Inflationserwartungen des Ifo World Economic Survey
ifo Schnelldienst, 2005, 58, (09), 13-20
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2005/2006: Nur zögerliche Erholung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2005, 58, (12), 29-63 View citations (2)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2006: deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung
ifo Schnelldienst, 2005, 58, (24), 18-54 View citations (4)
2004
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2004/2005: Konjunktur gewinnt an Fahrt
ifo Schnelldienst, 2004, 57, (12), 10-36 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2005: Abgehängt von der Weltkonjunktur
ifo Schnelldienst, 2004, 57, (24), 15-53 View citations (1)
2003
- Managed Floating as a Monetary Policy Strategy
Economic Change and Restructuring, 2003, 36, (2), 81-109 View citations (31)
See also Working Paper Managed floating as a monetary policy strategy, Munich Reprints in Economics (2003) View citations (32) (2003)
- Sterilisierte Devisenmarktinterventionen - ein umstrittenes währungspolitisches Instrument
ifo Schnelldienst, 2003, 56, (19), 34-44 View citations (1)
- ifo Konjunkturprognose 2004: Erholung hat begonnen
ifo Schnelldienst, 2003, 56, (24), 16-42 View citations (1)
2001
- Is there a third way to EMU for the EU accession countries?
Economic Systems, 2001, 25, (3), 253-274 View citations (24)
See also Working Paper Is there a third way to EMU for the EU accession countries?, Munich Reprints in Economics (2001) View citations (23) (2001)
Books
2022
- Economic and Business Cycle Analyses with Electricity Consumption Data
ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (1)
2020
- Auswirkungen möglicher Währungskonflikte auf die deutsche und europäische Wirtschaft
ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
2016
- ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II
ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (3)
2006
- Gesamtwirtschaftliche Folgen von Vermögensblasen im internationalen Vergleich
ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
Edited books
2005
- Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis
Contributions to Economics, Springer View citations (24)
Chapters
2011
- Trade Imbalances: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Measures
Chapter 26 in Reform of the International Monetary System: The Palais Royal Initiative, 2011, pp 321-342 View citations (17)
2002
- EU Accession Countries: What Path to Successful EMU Membership?
Palgrave Macmillan
Also in University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (1)
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