Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Flüchtlingsmigration stellt Wirtschaftspolitik vor Herausforderungen

Roland Döhrn, Ferdinand Fichtner, Oliver Holtemöller and Timo Wollmershäuser

Wirtschaftsdienst, 2015, vol. 95, issue 10, 696-700

Abstract: According to the Autumn 2015 Joint Forecast German GDP will grow by 1.8% in this year and in the next year also. Thus the business cycle upswing will continue to be moderate. Lower growth in the emerging markets will show a dampening effect on exports whereas private consumption will gain momentum, given a strong labor market and an increase in real wages. However, new workers are increasingly recruited from the non-active population and among immigrants, leaving unemployment more or less unchanged. In the next year, the huge current infl ow of refugees will increasingly infl uence the number of unemployed. For economic policy the challenge is to integrate refugees into the labour market as soon as possible. Copyright ZBW and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Keywords: E27; E32; E37 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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DOI: 10.1007/s10273-015-1889-5

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