Working Papers Central Bank of Chile

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620: Un Test Conjunto de Superioridad Predictiva para los Pronósticos de Inflación Chilena

Pablo Pincheira

619: The Optimal Inflation Tax in the Presence of Imperfect Deposit – Currency Substitution

Eduardo Olaberria

618: El Índice Cartera Vencida como Medida de Riesgo de Crédito: Análisis y Aplicación al Caso de Chile

Andres Sagner

617: Estimación del Premio por Riesgo en Chile

Francisca Lira and Claudia Sotz

616: Uso de la Aproximación TIR/Duración en la Estructura de Tasas: Resultados Cuantitativos Bajo Nelson - Siegel

Rodrigo Alfaro and Juan Becerra

615: Chilean Export Performance: the Rol of Intensive and Extensive Margins

Matias Berthelon

614: Does linearity in the dynamics of inflation gap and unemployment rate matter?

Roque Montero

613: Modeling Copper Price: A Regime-Switching Approach

Javier García-Cicco and Roque Montero

612: Tightening Tensions: Fiscal Policy and Civil Unrest in Eleven South American Countries, 1937 - 1995

Hans-Joachim Voth

611: Seigniorage and Distortionary Taxation in a Model with Heterogeneous Agents and Idiosyncratic Uncertainty

Sofia Bauducco

610: Stress Tests for Banking Sector: A Technical Note

Rodrigo Alfaro and Andres Sagner

609: Riding the Roller Coaster: Fiscal Policies of Nonrenewable Resources Exporters in Latin America and the Caribbean

Mauricio Villafuerte, Pablo López-Murphy and Rolando Ossowski

608: Floats, Pegs and the Transmission of Fiscal Policy

Giancarlo Corsetti, Keith Kuester and Gernot Müller

607: A Bunch of Models, a Bunch of Nulls and Inference About Predictive Ability

Pablo Pincheira

606: College Risk and Return

Gonzalo Castex

605: Determinants of Export Diversificationaround the World: 1962 - 2000

Manuel Agosin, Roberto Alvarez and Claudio Bravo-Ortega

604: A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: the Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile

Jeffrey Frankel

603: Eficiencia Bancaria en Chile: un Enfoque de Frontera de Beneficios

José Luis Carreño, Gino Loyola and Yolanda Portilla

602: Chile’s Structural Fiscal Surplus Rule: a Model – Based Evaluation

Michael Kumhof and Douglas Laxton

601: Price Level Targeting and Inflation Targeting: a Review

Sofia Bauducco and Rodrigo Caputo

600: Vulnerability, Crisis and Debt Maturity: do IMF Interventions Shorten the Length of Borrowing?

Diego Saravia

599: Is Previous Exporting Experience Relevant for New Exports?

Roberto Alvarez, Hasan Faruq and Ricardo López Rago

598: Accounting for Changes in College Attendance Profile: a Quantitative Life-Cycle Analysis

Gonzalo Castex

597: Implied Probability Distribution in Financial Options

Andres Sagner

596: Implied Probability Distribution in Financial Options

Luis Ceballos

595: Extracting GDP Signals From the Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity: Evidence From Chilean Real-Time Data

Michael Pedersen

594: Monetary Policy Under Financial Turbulence: an Overview

Luis Cespedes, Roberto Chang and Diego Saravia

593: The Great Recession and the Great Depression: Reflections and Lessons

Barry Eichengreen

592: Evidence on the variability of the monetary policy inertia for inflation-targeting countries

Benjamin Garcia

591: Household Credit Markets During the Financial Crisis of 2008/2009

Gabriel Aparici and Fernando Sepúlveda

590: The Financial Accelerator Under Learning and The Role of Monetary Policy

Rodrigo Caputo, Juan Medina and Claudio Soto

589: Conventional Calibration Versus EDF Calibration

Julio Cordova

588: Nowcasting With Google Trends in an Emerging Market

Yan Carrière-Swallow and Felipe Labbé

587: Inflation Targeting in Financially Stable Economies: Has it been Flexible Enough?

Mauricio Calani, Kevin Cowan and Pablo García S.

586: Heterodox Central Banking

Luis Cespedes, Roberto Chang and Javier García-Cicco

585: Recessions and Financial Disruptions in Emerging Markets: A Bird´s Eye View

Stijn Claessens, Ayhan Kose and Marco Terrones

584: The Role of Labor Markets in Structural Change

Miguel Ricaurte

583: Firm Dynamics and Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Does Trade Openness Matter? Evidence from Mexico´s Manufacturing Sector

Miguel Fuentes and Pablo Ibarraran

582: Revisiting Overborrowing and its Policy Implications

Gianluca Benigno, Huigang Chen, Christopher Otrok, Alessandro Rebucci and Eric Young

581: Fiscal Deficits, Debt, and Monetary Policy in a Liquidity Trap

Michael Devereux

580: Anchors Away: How Fiscal Policy Can Undermine "Good" Monetary Policy

Eric Leeper

579: The Credit Channel and Monetary Transmission in Brazil and Chile: A Structural VAR Approach

Luis Catão and Adrian Pagan

578: Borrowing Constraints and Credit Demand

Jaime Ruiz-Tagle and Francis Vella

577: Proyección Agregada y Desagregada del PIB Chileno con Procedimientos Automatizados de Series de Tiempo

Carlos A. Medel and Marcela Urrutia

576: Competition and Stability in Banking

Xavier Vives

575: The Global Financial Crisis

Franklin Allen and Elena Carletti

574: The Determinants of Household Debt Defa

Rodrigo Alfaro, Natalia Gallardo and Roberto Stein

573: On the Quantitative Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policies

Javier García-Cicco

572: Commodity Prices Pass-Through

Roberto Rigobon

571: Supply and Demand Identification in the Credit Market

Mauricio Calani, Pablo García S. and Daniel Oda