Working Papers Central Bank of Chile

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699: Comportamiento de No Pago en Créditos de Consumo: Indicadores y Determinantes

Andrés Alegría, Rodrigo Alfaro and Carlos Saavedra

698: A Simple Out-of-Sample Test for the Martingale Difference Hypothesis

Pablo Pincheira

697: Vulnerability, Crisis and Debt Maturity: Do IMF Interventions Shorten the Length of Borrowing?

Diego Saravia

696: Are all Capital Inflows Associated with Booms in House Prices? An Empirical Evaluation

Alejandro Jara and Eduardo Olaberria

695: Household Debt During the Financial Crisis: Micro-Evidence from Chile

Roberto Alvarez and Luis Opazo

694: Efficient CPI-Based Taylor Rules in Small Open Economies

Rodrigo Caputo and Luis Oscar Herrera

693: Interventions and Inflation Expectations in an Inflation Targeting Economy

Pablo Pincheira

692: The Response Speed of the International Monetary Fund

Ashoka Mody and Diego Saravia

691: Efectos de Shocks al Precio del Petróleo sobre la Economía de Chile y sus Socios Comerciales

Michael Pedersen and Miguel Ricaurte

690: Aumento del Salario Mínimo y sus Efectos sobre el Mercado Laboral

Gonzalo Castex

689: The Impact of Persistence in Volatility over the Probability of Default

Rodrigo Alfaro and Natán Golberger

688: Rebellions, Technical Change, and the Early Development of Political Institutions in Latin America

Alvaro Aguirre

687: Are International Market Linkages Stronger? Comparison between 1990s and 2000s

Francisca Pérez

686: What Affects the Predictions of Private Forecasters? The Role of Central Bank Forecasts

Michael Pedersen

685: Pronósticos con Métodos Shrinkage utilizando una Gran Base de Datos

Wildo Gonzalez P. and Hernán Rubio

684: Precio de Materias Primas y Spread Soberano en Economías Emergentes ¿Importa la Concentración de las Exportaciones?

Ercio Muñoz Saavedra

683: Evolution of a Small Open Emerging Economy's External Vulnerability: Evidence for Chile

Gaston Chaumont and Markus Kirchner

682: Measurement of Household Financial Risk with the Survey of Household Finances

Felipe Martínez, Rodrigo Cifuentes, Carlos Madeira and Ruben Poblete-Cazenave

681: Introducing Liquidity Risk in the Contingent-Claim Analysis for the Banks

Daniel Oda

680: Precio del Petróleo: Tensiones Geopolíticas y Eventos de Oferta

Eduardo López and Ercio Muñoz Saavedra

679: Does BIC Estimate and Forecast Better Than AIC?

Carlos A. Medel and Sergio Salgado Ibáñez

678: Spillovers of the Credit Default Swap Market

Mauricio Calani

677: Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: a Cross-Country Analysis

Pablo Pincheira and Carlos A. Medel

676: Capital Debt -and Equity-Led Capital Flow Episodes

Kristin Forbes and Francis Warnock

675: Capital Inflows and Booms in Assets Prices: Evidence From a Panel of Countries

Eduardo Olaberria

674: Evaluation of Short Run Inflation Forecasts in Chile

Pablo Pincheira and Roberto Alvarez

673: Tasa Máxima Convencional y Oferta de Créditos

Rodrigo Alfaro, Andres Sagner and Camilo Vio

672: Pegs, Downward Wage Rigidity, and Unemployment: the Role of Financial Structure

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

671: Adapting Macropudential Policies to Global Liquidity Conditions

Hyun Song Shin

670: An Anatomy of Credit Booms and their Demise

Enrique Mendoza and Marco Terrones

669: Forecasting Inflation With a Random Walk

Pablo Pincheira and Carlos A. Medel

668: On the International Transmission of Shocks: Micro – Evidence From Mutual Fund Portfolios

Claudio Raddatz and Sergio Schmukler

667: Heterogeneus Inflation Expectations Learning and Market Outcomes

Carlos Madeira and Basit Zafar

666: Financial Development, Exporting and Firm Heterogeneity in Chile

Roberto Alvarez and Ricardo López Rago

665: Determinantes e Impacto de Episodios de Reversión Abrupta de Flujos de Capitales: ¿Es Distinto un Sudden Stop de un Sudden Flight?

Gabriela Contreras, Alfredo Pistelli and Mariel Siravegna

664: Rational Inattention, Multi-Product Firms and the Neutrality of Money

Ernesto Pasten

663: Non-Ricardian Aspects of Fiscal Policy in Chile

Luis Cespedes, Jorge Fornero and Jordi Galí

662: Cubrir o no Cubrir: ¿Ese es el Dilema?

Rodrigo Alfaro and Natán Goldberger

661: Are Forecast Combinations Efficient?

Pablo Pincheira

660: Combinación de Proyecciones para el Precio del Petróleo: Aplicación y Evaluación de Metodologías

Ercio Muñoz Saavedra, Miguel Ricaurte and Mariel Siravegna

659: Dinámica Laboral en Chile

Macarena García and Alberto Naudon

658: ¿Akaike o Schwarz? ¿Cuál elegir para Predecir el PIB Chileno?

Carlos A. Medel

657: How Informative are In–Sample Information Criteria to Forecasting? The Case of Chilean GDP

Carlos A. Medel

656: Indicadores Sintéticos para la Proyección de Imacec en Chile

Gonzalo Calvo and Miguel Ricaurte

655: Government Spending and the Real Exchange Rate: a Cross - Country Perspective

Rodrigo Caputo and Miguel Fuentes

654: Tasas de Crédito Ajustadas por Riesgo e Implicancias para Políticas de Tasa Máxima Convencional

Carlos Madeira

653: Un Gran VAR Bayesiano para la Economía Chilena

Wildo Gonzalez P.

652: Capital Controls and Foreign Exchange Policy

Marcel Fratzscher

651: Policy Implications of Using Audits to Detect Bank Insolvencies

Jaime Hurtubia and Claudio Sardoni

650: Self – Employment, Labor Market Rigidities and Unemployment Over the Business Cycle

Gonzalo Castex and Miguel Ricaurte