Risk shocks and divergence between the Euro area and the US in the aftermath of the Great Recession
Thomas Brand and
Fabien Tripier ()
No 2101, CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) from CEPREMAP
Highly synchronized during the Great Recession of 2008-2009, the Euro area and the US have diverged in the period that followed. To explain this divergence, we provide a structural interpretation of these episodes through the estimation for both economies of a business cycle model with financial frictions and risk shocks, measured as the volatility of idiosyncratic uncertainty in the financial sector. Our results show that risk shocks have stimulated US growth in the aftermath of the Great Recession and have been the main driver of the double-dip recession in the Euro area. They play a positive role in the Euro area only after 2015. Risk shocks therefore seem well suited to account for the consequences of the sovereign debt crisis in Europe and the subsequent positive effects of unconventional monetary policies, notably the ECB's Asset Purchase Programme (APP).
Keywords: Great Recession; Business cycles; Uncertainty; Divergence; Risk Shocks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 53 pages
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-eec, nep-fdg and nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Working Paper: Risk Shocks and Divergence between the Euro Area and the US in the aftermath of the Great Recession (2021)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpm:docweb:2101
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb) from CEPREMAP Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Mathieu Perona ().