EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Exchange Rates in Search of Fundamental Variables

Paul De Grauwe

No 1073, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: In this paper it is shown that relatively simple models are capable of generating exchange rate movements that, at least in the short run, are largely disconnected from their fundamental values. The essential ingredient of such models is the hypothesis that economic agents use different information sets. It is assumed that there are two classes of agents, fundamentalists and chartists. The former use the information contained in the model and a forecast of future fundamental variables. The latter forecast the future exchange rate based on past exchange rate movements. The interaction of these two classes of agents creates a non-linearity in the model and is responsible for the complex behaviour of the exchange rate.

Keywords: Exchange Markets; Exchange Rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1994-12
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=1073 (application/pdf)
CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at subscribers@cepr.org

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1073

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.cepr.org/ ... ers/dp.php?dpno=1073

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-19
Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1073