Economics at your fingertips  

Economic Uncertainty and Structural Reforms

Alessandra Bonfiglioli () and Gino Gancia ()

No 10937, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Does economic uncertainty promote the implementation of structural reforms? We answer this question using one of the most exhaustive cross-country panel data set on reforms in six major areas and measuring economic uncertainty with stock market volatility. To address endogeneity concerns, we propose various identification strategies, instrumenting uncertainty with world shocks to volatility and with natural disasters, terrorist attacks, political coups and revolutions. Across all specifications, we find that uncertainty has a positive and significant effect on the adoption of reforms. This result is robust to the inclusion of a large number of controls, including political variables, economic variables, crisis indicators, and a host of country, reform and time fixed effects. These findings are broadly consistent with recent models suggesting that uncertainty promotes reforms by mitigating agency problems between policy makers and voters.

Keywords: reforms; uncertainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E02 E60 L51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) (application/pdf)
CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at

Related works:
Working Paper: Economic Uncertainty and Structural Reforms (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Economic uncertainty and structural reforms (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Economic Uncertainty and Structural Reforms (2015) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from ... rs/dp.php?dpno=10937

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().

Page updated 2020-09-05
Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:10937