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Lags, Costs and Shocks: An Equilibrium Model of the Oil Industry

Rebelo, Sérgio, Per Krusell and Gideon Bornstein

No 12047, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We use a new micro data set that covers all oil fields in the world to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model of the oil industry with two alternative market structures. In the first, all firms are competitive. In the second, OPEC firms act as a cartel. This effort is a first step towards studying the importance of ongoing structural changes in the oil market in a general- equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility of oil prices. Our model predicts a large decline in this volatility.

Keywords: Oil; Commodities; Volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ene
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

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