Multilateral Trade Rules and the Expected Cost of Protection

Joseph Francois and Will Martin

No 1214, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: Protection unconstrained by rules typically varies considerably over time. The policy disciplines introduced in the Uruguay Round in `new' areas such as agricultural, services, and developing country industrial protection will constrain, but not eliminate, this variability. The effects of these constraints on the expected costs of protection are examined, taking into account their impacts on both the first and second moments of the distribution of protection. As an application, we examine Uruguay Round agricultural bindings, finding substantial reductions in the expected cost of protection even in some cases where the bindings are above previous protection levels.

Keywords: Expected Protection; Stochastic Protection; Tariff Bindings; Trade Liberalization; Trade Policy; Trade Rules (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F11 F13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1995-07
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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