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Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation

Francesco Bianchi (), Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson

No 12275, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: This paper presents evidence of infrequent shifts, or "regimes," in the mean of the consumption-wealth variable cayt that are strongly associated with low frequency fluctuations in the real value of the Federal Reserve's primary policy rate, with low policy rates associated with high asset valuations, and vice versa. By contrast, there is no evidence that infrequent shifts to high asset valuations and low policy rates are associated with higher economic growth or lower economic uncertainty; indeed the opposite is true. Additional evidence shows that low interest rate/high asset valuation regimes coincide with significantly lower equity market risk premia.

Keywords: Asset Pricing; monetary policy; Real interest rate; Risk premium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G10 G12 G17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: 2017-09
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Working Paper: Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation (2017) Downloads
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