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Currency depreciation and emerging market corporate distress

Valentina G. Bruno and Hyun Song Shin

No 13298, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: How do emerging market corporates fare during periods of currency depreciation? We find that non-financial firms that exploit favorable global financing conditions to issue US dollar bonds and build cash balances are also those whose share price is most vulnerable to local currency depreciation. In particular, firms' vulnerability to currency depreciation derives less from the foreign currency debt as such, but from the cash balances that are built up by using foreign currency debt. Overall, our results point to a financial motive for dollar bond issuance by emerging market firms in carry trade-like transactions that leave them vulnerable in an environment of dollar strength.

Keywords: currency mismatch; emerging market corporate debt; global financial conditions; liability dollarization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn and nep-mac
Date: 2018-11
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