Tractable Epidemiological Models for Economic Analysis

Dirk Niepelt and Martin Gonzalez-Eiras

No 14791, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We contrast the canonical epidemiological SIR model due to Kermack and McKendrick (1927) with more tractable alternatives that off er similar degrees of "realism" and flexibility. We provide results connecting the diff erent models which can be exploited for calibration purposes. We use the expected spread of COVID-19 in the United States to exemplify our results.

Keywords: Epidemiology; Sir model; Logistic model; Covid-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-05
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Working Paper: Tractable Epidemiological Models for Economic Analysis (2020)
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