The Wealth Creation Effect in Stock Returns

Francesco Franzoni, Daniel Obrycki and Rafael Resendes

No 17251, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: In the asset pricing literature, higher investment is associated with lower expected stock returns. On the other hand, practitioners view investment as a value-creating activity when it generates payoffs above the cost of capital. The paper reconciles these views. Starting from a discounted cash-flow tautology, we argue that expected returns correlate positively with expected investment whenever the return on equity is large enough. We label this prediction the wealth creation effect. The empirical evidence supports this channel. The interaction of profitability and investment positively correlates with stock returns controlling for the usual characteristics. A wealth creation factor earns a premium of about 24bps per month leading to sizeable Sharpe ratio improvements relative to popular factor models.

Keywords: Profitability factor; Investment factor; Asset pricing; Net-present value; Wealth creation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-04
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://cepr.org/publications/DP17251 (application/pdf)
CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at subscribers@cepr.org

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17251

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
https://cepr.org/publications/DP17251

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().