Terrorism, media coverage and education: Evidence from al-Shabaab attacks in Kenya

Marco Alfano and Joseph-Simon Goerlach
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Joseph-Simon Görlach

No 17322, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We examine how terrorism alters the demand for education through perceived risks and returns by relating terrorist attacks to media signal coverage and schooling in Kenya. Exploiting geographical and temporal variation in wireless signal coverage and attacks, we establish that media access reinforces negative effects of terrorism on schooling. These effects are confirmed when we instrument both media signal and the incidence of attacks. For households with media access, we also find a significant relation between media content and schooling and a significant effect of attacks on self-reported fears and concerns. Based on these insights, we estimate a simple structural model where heterogeneous households experiencing terrorism form beliefs about risks and returns to education. We exploit the same quasi-experimental variation as in the reduced form analysis to identify how media change subjective expectations. The results show that households with media access significantly over-estimate fatality risks.

Keywords: Terrorism; Media; Expectations; Education (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 F52 I21 L82 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022-05
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Related works:
Journal Article: Terrorism, Media Coverage, and Education: Evidence from al-Shabaab Attacks in Kenya (2023)
Working Paper: Terrorism, Media Coverage and Education: Evidence from Al-Shabaab Attacks in Kenya (2022)
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