Corporate Debt, Boom-Bust Cycles, and Financial Crises

Victoria Ivashina, Kalemli-Özcan, Á¹¢ebnem, Luc Laeven and Müller, Karsten
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Karsten Müller

No 18873, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Using a new dataset on sectoral credit exposures covering financial and non-financial sectors in 115 economies over the period 1940–2014, we document the following evidence that corporate debt plays a key role in explaining boom-bust cycles, financial crises, and slow macroeconomic recoveries: (i) corporate debt accounts for two thirds of the aggregate credit expansion before crises and three quarters of total nonperforming loans during the bust; (ii) expansions in corporate debt predict crises similarly to household debt; (iii) a measure of imbalance in credit growth flowing disproportionately to some sectors, such as construction and non-bank financial intermediation, is associated with crises; and (iv) the recovery from financial crises is slower after a boom in corporate debt, especially when backed by procyclical collateral values, due to higher nonperforming loans.

Keywords: Credit; booms (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-03
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Working Paper: Corporate Debt, Boom-Bust Cycles, and Financial Crises (2024)
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