Does the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Change when Inflation is High?

Fabio Canova and Fernando Pérez Forero (fernando.perez@bcrp.gob.pe)

No 18993, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We investigate the transmission of US monetary policy shocks in high and low inflation regimes using a Bayesian threshold vector autoregressive model. The propagation of conventional disturbances differ: the peak response of output growth and of inflation is smaller but the effects lasts longer when inflation is high. Liquidity shocks are more expansionary when inflation is high. The reaction of financial markets to the shocks account for the differences. Implications for theoretical models of monetary policy transmission are discussed.

Keywords: Monetary policy shocks; Bayesian methods (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C3 E3 E5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-04
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Working Paper: Does the transmission of monetary policycshocks change when inflation is high? (2024)
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