Understanding Spatial House Price Dynamics in a Housing Boom

Leo Kaas, Georgi Kocharkov and Nicolas Syrichas

No 19397, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We examine the evolution of spatial house price dispersion during Germany's recent housing boom. Using a dataset of sales listings, we find that house price dispersion has significantly increased, which is driven entirely by rising price variation across postal codes. We show that both price divergence across labor market regions and widening spatial price variation within these regions are important factors for this trend. We propose and estimate a directed search model of the housing market to understand the driving forces of rising spatial price dispersion, highlighting the role of housing supply, housing demand and frictions in the matching process between buyers and sellers. While both shifts in housing supply and housing demand matter for overall price increases and for regional divergence, we find that variation in housing demand is the primary factor contributing to the widening spatial dispersion within labor market regions.

JEL-codes: D83 R21 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-08
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Related works:
Working Paper: Understanding Spatial House Price Dynamics in a Housing Boom (2025)
Working Paper: Understanding Spatial House Price Dynamics in a Housing Boom (2024)
Working Paper: Understanding spatial house price dynamics in a housing boom (2024)
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