Skewness Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Currency Returns

Junye Li, Lucio Sarno and Gabriele Zinna

No 20587, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: Using model-free skewness measures that exploit the asymmetry in semivariances and option data from the over-the-counter currency market, we find that buying currencies with a high skewness risk premium (SRP) and selling currencies with a low SRP generates high returns and Sharpe ratio. Asset pricing tests – which control for omitted variables and measurement errors – show that a SRP factor enters the currency pricing kernel and is central to the pricing of risks inherent in a broad currency cross-section of 60 portfolio excess returns. These results imply that skewness risk is a strong and priced source of currency risk.

JEL-codes: F31 G12 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-08
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