Labor Supply and the Pension Contribution-Benefit Link

Eric French, Attila Lindner, O’Dea, Cormac and Tom Zawisza

No 20742, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We estimate the impact of public pension incentives on labor supply far from the normal retirement age by exploiting Poland’s switch from a Defined Benefit to a Notional Defined Contribution scheme for men born after 1948. Using the universe of taxpayers and this sharp cohort-based discontinuity in the link between current contributions and future benefits, we estimate an employment elasticity with respect to the return to work of 0.44 for ages 51-54. We estimate a lifecycle model that matches these results. The model implies that the change in the contribution-benefit link from the reform increases employment among those in their 30s but decreases it at older ages, reducing overall labor supply across the lifecycle by two months.

JEL-codes: D15 H55 J22 J26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-10
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