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Is AI Trained on Public Money? Evidence from U.S. Data Centers

Adam Feher, Emilia Garcia-Appendini and Roxana Mihet

No 20758, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We leverage a novel dataset on U.S. data center energy loads, utility electricity prices, and establishment-level revenues, employment, and carbon emissions from 2010 to 2023 to examine whether rising data center demand affects local retail energy prices or other spillovers. For identification, we employ an instrumental variables continuous difference-in-differences design, exploiting exogenous variation in data center location attractiveness. We find no detectable local spillover effects from data center energy growth. A regional model calibrated to these null results suggests that shocks larger than those observed through 2023 could still result in noticeable increases in household utility bills if not offset by regulation or external supply.

Keywords: Climate change; Technology adoption; Data Centers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L94 O44 Q55 Q58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-10
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