Capital Markets and the Instability of Open Economies

Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee

No 2083, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: This paper introduces a framework for analyzing the role of financial factors as a source of instability in small open economies. Our basic model is a dynamic open economy model with one tradeable and one non-tradeable good with the non-tradeable being an input to the production of the tradeable. We also assume that firms face credit constraints, with the constraint being tighter at a lower level of financial development. The two basic implications of this model are the following: first, economies at an intermediate level of financial development are more unstable than either very developed or very underdeveloped economies. This is true both in the sense that temporary shocks have large and persistent effects and also in the sense that these economies can exhibit stable limit cycles. Thus, countries that are going through a phase of financial development may become more unstable in the short run. Second, in economies at an intermediate level of financial development, full financial liberalization may actually destabilize the economy. On the other hand, foreign direct investment does not destabilize.

Keywords: Capital Flows; Credit Constraints; Instability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1999-03
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (52)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Capital Markets and the Instability of Open Economies (2000)
Working Paper: Capital Markets and the Instability of Open Economies (1999)
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