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Tracing the Impact of Bank Shocks under Bank-Specific Credit Demand

Max Bruche, Farinha, Luísa, Sotirios Kokas, Enrico Sette and Serafeim Tsoukas

No 21335, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We propose a method for estimating the effect of bank shocks on credit supply when firms have heterogeneous preferences over banks. We model firms’ bank choices in a discrete-choice setting and show that firms prefer banks that are geographically closer, specialized in their industry, and better capitalized. The model yields a predicted probability that a firm borrows from a given bank, capturing firm-specific preferences that can be controlled for in standard credit supply regressions `a la Khwaja and Mian (2008). Accounting for these preferences changes the estimated transmission of shocks through banks, revealing a potential bias in the conventional identification strategy.

Keywords: Relationship; lending (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E22 E51 G21 G30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-03
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