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How a Nation was Born: Brazilian Economic Growth, 1574–1920

Guilherme Lambais and Nuno Palma

No 21341, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We construct the first long-run series of GDP per capita for Brazil, covering the period from 1574 to 1920. We build a new, hand-collected dataset including over 30,000 observations for prices and wages covering most major regions of Brazil: Bahia, Rio de Janeiro, Pernambuco, São Paulo, and Rio Grande do Sul. Our estimates imply an average per-capita growth rate of approximately zero during the colonial era (1574-1821), 0.69% per year during the imperial era (1822-1888), and 1.02% per year during the Early Republic. The latter estimates lie below the "pro-growth" view of late nineteenth-century Brazil but above the traditional narrative of complete stagnation.

JEL-codes: N16 N32 N36 O47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-03
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