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Innovation, Industry Equilibrium, and Discount Rates

Maria Cecilia Bustamante, Francesco D'Acunto and Francesca Zucchi

No 21849, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We study how discount rates affect the level and composition of innovation within an industry. We develop a model in which higher discount rates need not reduce innovation in industry equilibrium, challenging conventional wisdom. While higher discount rates deter entry, effectively acting as entry barriers, they stimulate innovation along the intensive margin, potentially increasing aggregate industry innovation on net. The data support these predictions. The effects are stronger in more R&D intensive industries and industries with greater exposure to systematic risk. Additionally, higher discount rates foster explorative rather than exploitative innovation.

Keywords: Innovation; Risk premia; Creative destruction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G31 O31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-08
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