Consumption and Aggregate Constraints: Evidence from US States and Canadian Provinces

Oved Yosha, Sørensen, Bent E and Charlotte Ostergaard
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Bent E. Sorensen

No 2947, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: State-level consumption exhibits excess sensitivity to lagged income to the same extent as US aggregate data, but state-specific (idiosyncratic) consumption exhibits substantially less sensitivity to lagged stste-specific income - a result that also holds for Canadian provinces. We propose the following interpretation: borrowing and lending in response to changes in consumer demand is easier for an individual US state than it is for the US as a whole. The PIH may thus be a good model for describing the reaction of consumption to idiosynctratic disposable income shocks even if it fails at the aggregate US level. Further analysis, centered on the persistence of income shocks and on the consumption/income ratio, is consistent with this interpretation but suggests that the PIH still requires qualification. We contrast our results with tests of full inter-state risk sharing.

Keywords: Consumption; Excess sensitivity; Permanent income; Risk sharing; Us states; Canadian provinces; Regional macroeconomics; Excess smoothness (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001-09
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Consumption and Aggregate Constraints: Evidence from U.S. States and Canadian Provinces (2002)
Working Paper: Consumption and aggregate constraints: evidence from U.S. states and Canadian provinces (2000)
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