Relaxing the Restrictions on the Temporary Movements of Natural Persons: A Simulation Analysis

L. Winters and Terrie Walmsley ()

No 3719, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: While the liberalization of trade has been at the forefront of the global agenda for many decades, the movement of natural persons remains heavily guarded. Nevertheless, restrictions on the movement of natural persons across regions impose a cost on developing and developed economies that far exceeds that of trade restrictions on goods. This Paper uses a global CGE model to investigate the extent of these costs, by examining the effects of an increase in developed countries? quotas on both skilled and unskilled temporary labour equivalent to 3% of their labour forces. The results confirm that restrictions on the movement of natural persons impose significant costs on nearly all countries (over $150 billion in all), and that those on unskilled labour are more burdensome than those on skilled labour.

Keywords: Gats mode 4; Temporary migration; Cge (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F22 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cmp
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (40)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Relaxing the Restrictions on the Temporary Movement of Natural Persons: A Simulation Analysis (2005)
Working Paper: Relaxing the Restrictions on the Temporary Movement of Natural Persons: A Simulation Analysis (2002)
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