Financial Crisis, Economic Recovery and Banking Development in Former Soviet Union Economies

Dalia Marin, Cheng-Gang Xu and Haizhou Huang ()

No 3794, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: This Paper explains both the onset of the financial crisis in 1998 and the striking economic recovery afterwards in Russia and other Former Soviet Union (FSU) economies. Before the crisis banks do not lend to the real sector of the economy, and firms use non-bank finance - including trade credits and barter trade - to finance production. The banking failure arises due to the coexistence of adverse selection in a lemons credit market jointly with high government borrowing. The collapse of the treasury bills market in the financial crisis of August 1998 triggers a change in banks' lending behaviour. As a result output recovers which provides initial conditions for banking development.

Keywords: banking development; institutional trap; non-banking finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D82 G21 G30 O16 P34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fin, nep-mfd, nep-rmg and nep-tra
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Related works:
Working Paper: Financial Crisis, Economic Recovery and Banking Development in Former Soviet Union Economies (2003)
Working Paper: Financial Crisis, Economic Recovery and Banking Development in Former Soviet Union Economies (2002)
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