Supply Side Uncertainty and Effects of Government Financing Decisions
Seppo Honkapohja () and
No 397, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
In this paper we develop a stochastic monetary growth model with exogenous productivity shocks to consider the effects of changes in the financing structure of government deficits on the key variables of the economy. We study how the presence of supply-side uncertainty affects the equilibrium of the economy and the responses of key variables to the various policy changes. Finally, we consider the feasibility of different policies in the model. Introducing uncertainty in the model lowers (raises) the nominal interest rate and the mean inflation rate in the economy, if the fundamental government budget is in deficit (surplus). Changes in the bonds-to-money ratio turn out to have both real and nominal effects in the model. A permanent open market sale is a contractionary measure with respect to output and growth but unambiguously raises the equilibrium nominal interest rate and most likely accelerates inflation.
Keywords: Deficits; Growth; Open-Market Operations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at email@example.com
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:397
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.cepr.org/ ... pers/dp.php?dpno=397
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().