Would Multilateral Trade Reform Benefit Sub-Saharan Africans?
Kym Anderson (),
Will Martin () and
Dominique van der Mensbrugghe ()
No 5049, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
This paper examines whether, in the presence of trade preferences, Sub-Saharan African economies, and especially its poorest households, could gain from multilateral trade reform. The World Bank’s LINKAGE model of the global economy is employed to examine the impact first of current trade barriers and agricultural subsidies, and then of possible outcomes from the WTO’s Doha round. The results suggest moving to free global merchandise trade would boost real incomes in sub-Saharan Africa proportionately more than in other developing countries or in high-income countries, despite a terms of trade loss in parts of the region. Farm employment and output, the real value of agricultural and food exports, the real returns to farm land and unskilled labor, and real net farm incomes would all rise in the region, thereby alleviating poverty. A Doha partial liberalization of both agricultural and no-agricultural trade could take the region some way towards those desirable outcomes, but more so the more both rich and poor countries reduce their applied tariffs.
Keywords: computable general equilibrium; multilateral negotiationa; sub-Saharan Africa; trade policy; WTO (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 D58 F13 F17 O55 Q17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr and nep-int
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations View citations in EconPapers (7) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org
Journal Article: Would Multilateral Trade Reform Benefit Sub-Saharan Africans? (2006)
Working Paper: Would Multilateral Trade Reform Benefit Sub-Saharan Africans? (2005)
Working Paper: Would multilateral trade reform benefit Sub-Saharan Africans? (2005)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5049
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.cepr.org/ ... ers/dp.php?dpno=5049
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Centre for Economic Policy Research, 77 Bastwick Street, London EC1V 3PZ..
Bibliographic data for series maintained by (). This e-mail address is bad, please contact .