The Global Chilling Effects of Antidumping Proliferation

Hylke Vandenbussche and Maurizio Zanardi

No 5597, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Advocates of antidumping (AD) laws downplay their effects by arguing that the trade flows that are subject to AD are small and their distortions negligible. This paper is the first to counter that notion by quantifying the worldwide effect of AD laws on aggregate trade flows. The recent proliferation of AD laws across countries provides us with a natural experiment to estimate the trade effects of adopting versus using AD laws; differences in the intensity of use among countries with older AD laws allow us to investigate reputation effects. For this purpose, we estimate worldwide trade flows using a gravity equation spanning 21 years (1980-2000) of annual observations. Our estimates confirm that AD effects are not small. Among other findings, new tough users have their aggregate imports depressed by US$15.7bn a year (or 6.7%) as a result of the AD measures they have imposed. For a traditional user like the United States, current AD measures depress annual imports by almost US$20bn on top of the cumulative negative effect of reputation. For some countries, the dampening effects of AD laws on trade flows are found to nearly offset the gains from trade liberalization.

Keywords: Antidumping; Gravity equation; Trade liberalization; Trade flows (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 F14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006-04
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-reg
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Related works:
Working Paper: The global chilling effects of antidumping proliferation (2006)
Working Paper: The Global Chilling Effects of Antidumping Proliferation (2006)
Working Paper: The Global Chilling Effects of Antidumping Proliferation (2006)
Working Paper: The Global Chilling Effects of Antidumping Proliferation (2006)
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