Ageing, Migration and Labour Mobility

Rainer Winkelmann and Klaus Zimmermann ()

No 706, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: This paper provides insights into the relationship between the substantial ageing of the European labour force, large migration movements, and individual labour mobility. First, qualitative predictions are derived using the theory of production with multiple inputs. Second, quantitative relationships are measured using a large sample of German individual data. Mobility is measured by the number of job changes of an individual during a ten-year period. We address some methodological issues raised by the use of non-negative integer data in an econometric investigation. The estimates are used to evaluate the interactions in several simulations: What is the age-mobility profile? How is it affected by migration? What are the potential effects of labour-force ageing as predicted for Germany and Europe up to the beginning of the next century?

Keywords: Poisson Regression; Predicted Age-structure; Simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C25 J10 J60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1992-10
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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