The Portfolio Effect of Pension Reforms

Tullio Jappelli (), Mario Padula and Renata Bottazzi

No 7380, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We estimate the portfolio effect of changes in social security wealth exploiting a decade of Italian pension reforms as a source of exogenous variation. The Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth records detailed portfolio data and elicits expectations of retirement outcomes, thus allowing us to measure the expected social security wealth and to assess to what extent Italian households perceive the innovations brought about by the reforms. We find that households have responded to the cut in pension benefits mostly by increasing real estate wealth, and that the response is stronger among households that are able to estimate more accurately future social security benefits. We also compute that for the average household consumable wealth increases by 40 percent of the reduction in social security wealth.

Keywords: Pension reform; Portfolio choice; Retirement saving (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E21 H55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age and nep-mac
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Related works:
Working Paper: The Portfolio Effect of Pension Reforms (2009)
Working Paper: The Portfolio Effect of Pension Reforms (2009)
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