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Great Expectations: Past Wages and Unemployment Durations

Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, Böheim, René and Gerard Horvath
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: René Böheim

No 7974, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: Decomposing wages into worker and firm wage components, we find that firm-fixed components (firm rents) are sizeable parts of workers' wages. If workers can only imperfectly observe the extent of firm rents in their wages, they might be mislead about the overall wage distribution. Such misperceptions may lead to unjustified high reservation wages, resulting in overly long unemployment durations. We examine the influence of previous wages on unemployment durations for workers after exogenous lay-offs and, using Austrian administrative data, we find that younger workers are, in fact, unemployed longer if they profited from high firm rents in the past. We interpret our findings as evidence for overconfidence generated by imperfectly observed productivity.

Keywords: Job search; Overconfidence; Unemployment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J3 J6 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010-09
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Great expectations: Past wages and unemployment durations (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Great Expectations: Past Wages and Unemployment Durations (2010) Downloads
Working Paper: Great Expectations: Past Wages and Unemployment Durations (2010) Downloads
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