Surprising Similarities: Recent Monetary Regimes of Small Economies

Andrew Rose

No 9684, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: In contrast to earlier recessions, the monetary regimes of many small economies have not changed in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. This is due in part to the fact that many small economies continue to use hard exchange rate fixes, a reasonably durable regime. However, most of the new stability is due to countries that float with an inflation target. Though a few have left to join the Eurozone, no country has yet abandoned an inflation targeting regime under duress. Inflation targeting now represents a serious alternative to a hard exchange rate fix for small economies seeking monetary stability. Are there important differences between the economic outcomes of the two stable regimes? I examine a panel of annual data from more than 170 countries from 2007 through 2012 and find that the macroeconomic and financial consequences of regime-choice are surprisingly small. Consistent with the literature, business cycles, capital flows, and other phenomena for hard fixers have been similar to those for inflation targeters during the Global Financial Crisis and its aftermath.

Keywords: Crisis; Data; Empirical; exchange rate; Financial; Float; Hard fix; inflation; Panel; Recession (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E58 F33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac, nep-mon and nep-opm
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Journal Article: Surprising similarities: Recent monetary regimes of small economies (2014)
Journal Article: Surprising similarities: recent monetary regimes of small economies (2013)
Working Paper: Surprising Similarities: Recent Monetary Regimes of Small Economies (2013)
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