The Short- and Long-Run Determinants of Less- Educated Immigrant Flows into U.S. States

Nicole Simpson and Chad Sparber

No 1226, RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series from Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin) - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM)

Abstract: We use a gravity model of migration and alternative estimation strategies to analyse how income differentials affect the flow of immigrants into U.S. states using annual data from the American Community Survey. We add to existing literature by decomposing income differentials into short- and long-term components and by focusing on newly arrived less-educated immigrants between 2000-2009. Our sample is unique in that the vast majority of our observations take zero values. Models that include observations with zero flow values find that recent male immigrants respond to differences in (short-term) GDP fluctuations between origin countries and U.S. states, and perhaps to (long-term) trend GDP differences as well. More specifically, GDP fluctuations pull less-educated male immigrants into certain U.S. states, whereas GDP trends push less-educated male immigrants out of their countries of origin. Effects for less-educated women are less robust, as GDP coefficients tend to be much smaller than for men.

Keywords: Immigration; Macroeconomics; GDP; Gravity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 J61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mig
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: The Short‐ and Long‐Run Determinants of Less‐Educated Immigrant Flows into U.S. States (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:crm:wpaper:1226

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