Who is Confronted to Insecure Labor Market Histories ? Some Evidence Based on the French Labor Market Transitions
Elise Coudin and
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Magali Beffy: Crest
No 2008-34, Working Papers from Center for Research in Economics and Statistics
This paper presents some empirical evidence on the French labor market focusing on transitionsbetween stable jobs, temporary work, unemployment and non-participation. The model used is basedon a Markov chain mixture which allows one to distinguish labor market histories that are confined tocontingent work and non-employment from the non-confined ones. This enables us to identify,quantify and characterize (conditional on observable characteristics) the workers who never accede tostable jobs and remain stuck to temporary jobs and non-employment spells. We consider quarterlylabor market transitions, observed from 2003 to 2006 in the Labor Force survey (LFS). We find thaton the whole, about 5% of the working age population experience confined transition dynamics : theycannot access to stable jobs. Confined workers are less educated and are more likely to live indistressed areas.
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