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Who is Confronted to Insecure Labor Market Histories ? Some Evidence Based on the French Labor Market Transitions

Magali Beffy, Elise Coudin and Roland Rathelot
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Magali Beffy: Crest

No 2008-34, Working Papers from Center for Research in Economics and Statistics

Abstract: This paper presents some empirical evidence on the French labor market focusing on transitionsbetween stable jobs, temporary work, unemployment and non-participation. The model used is basedon a Markov chain mixture which allows one to distinguish labor market histories that are confined tocontingent work and non-employment from the non-confined ones. This enables us to identify,quantify and characterize (conditional on observable characteristics) the workers who never accede tostable jobs and remain stuck to temporary jobs and non-employment spells. We consider quarterlylabor market transitions, observed from 2003 to 2006 in the Labor Force survey (LFS). We find thaton the whole, about 5% of the working age population experience confined transition dynamics : theycannot access to stable jobs. Confined workers are less educated and are more likely to live indistressed areas.

Pages: 39
Date: 2008
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